Estrela Amadora vs Alverca Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

75.4%

xG

1.4 – 1.3

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →

Estrela AmadoraLDWDW

AlvercaWWLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

Estrela Amadora favoured at 41%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.44 goals for Estrela Amadora and 1.29 for Alverca, giving 41% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.44 - 1.29
Clean sheet chance: Estrela Amadora 28%, Alverca 24%

Match result

1X2

Estrela Amadora41.0%

Draw25.1%

Alverca33.9%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.6

Estrela Amadora

Average

5.0

Alverca

Average

Estrela AmadoraLast 10 games

Alverca

1.20Points per game0.90

1.8Goals scored per game1.0

1.9Goals conceded per game1.4

80%Over 2.5 goals40%

80%Both teams scored60%

10%Clean sheets10%

20%Failed to score30%

Recent results

Estrela AmadoraLDWDW

AlvercaWWLDL

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2