Santa Clara vs Alverca prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 6Full time
Santa Clara
2-1
Alverca
Model's readEstádio de São Miguel
1 47%X 27%2 25%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
74.5%
xG
1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
40%
Both score
44%
Form
Full stats →Santa ClaraWDWWDAlvercaWWLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedSanta Clara favoured at 47%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.36 goals for Santa Clara and 0.92 for Alverca, giving 47% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.36 - 0.92
- Clean sheet chance: Santa Clara 40%, Alverca 26%
Match result
1X2Santa Clara47.4%
Draw27.1%
Alverca25.5%
Model rating
All ratings →5.9
Santa Clara
Above average
5.0
Alverca
Average
Santa ClaraLast 10 gamesAlverca2.10Points per game0.90
1.4Goals scored per game1.0
0.5Goals conceded per game1.4
30%Over 2.5 goals40%
30%Both teams scored60%
60%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 3 meetings1
Santa Clara
2
Draws
0
Alverca
- 29 Aug 26Alverca 1-1 Santa Clara
- 21 Feb 26Alverca 1-1 Santa Clara
- 20 Sept 25Santa Clara 2-1 Alverca