Alverca vs Rio Ave Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

73.1%

xG

1.6 – 1.1

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →

AlvercaWWLDL

Rio AveWLDLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Alverca favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.58 goals for Alverca and 1.10 for Rio Ave, giving 49% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.58 - 1.10
Clean sheet chance: Alverca 33%, Rio Ave 21%

Match result

1X2

Alverca48.5%

Draw24.6%

Rio Ave26.9%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.0

Alverca

Average

4.1

Rio Ave

Average

AlvercaLast 10 games

Rio Ave

0.90Points per game0.80

1.0Goals scored per game1.0

1.4Goals conceded per game2.2

40%Over 2.5 goals50%

60%Both teams scored40%

10%Clean sheets10%

30%Failed to score50%

Recent results

AlvercaWWLDL

Rio AveWLDLL

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	8	+16	24
2▲	Benfica 2-0	8	+17	19
3▼	Sporting CP	8	+11	18
4▼	Santa Clara	8	+8	18
5	Académico de Viseu	8	+1	14
6	Arouca	7	+3	11
7	Gil Vicente	7	+1	11
8	Braga	7	0	11
9	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	8	-5	8
12	Moreirense	8	-7	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães 0-2	8	-5	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	8	-14	4
18	Estoril Praia	8	-8	2