Estrela Amadora vs Nacional de Madeira prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 11Full time
Estrela Amadora
1-1
Nacional de Madeira
Model's readEstádio José Gomes
1 44%X 24%2 31%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
77.1%
xG
1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →Estrela AmadoraLDWDWNacional de MadeiraLLLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedEstrela Amadora favoured at 44%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.56 goals for Estrela Amadora and 1.27 for Nacional de Madeira, giving 44% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 31% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.56 - 1.27
- Clean sheet chance: Estrela Amadora 28%, Nacional de Madeira 21%
Match result
1X2Estrela Amadora44.4%
Draw24.4%
Nacional de Madeira31.2%
Model rating
All ratings →4.6
Estrela Amadora
Average
3.9
Nacional de Madeira
Weak
Estrela AmadoraLast 10 gamesNacional de Madeira1.20Points per game0.70
1.8Goals scored per game1.1
1.9Goals conceded per game2.0
80%Over 2.5 goals50%
80%Both teams scored40%
10%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Estrela AmadoraLDWDWPortuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2▲ |  Benfica 2-0 | 8 | +17 | 19 |
| 3▼ |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 4▼ |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães 0-2 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 5 meetings3
Estrela Amadora
1
Draws
1
Nacional de Madeira
- 30 Aug 26Nacional de Madeira 2-3 Estrela Amadora
- 4 Apr 26Nacional de Madeira 2-0 Estrela Amadora
- 9 Nov 25Estrela Amadora 1-1 Nacional de Madeira
- 6 Apr 25Nacional de Madeira 0-1 Estrela Amadora
- 10 Nov 24Estrela Amadora 2-0 Nacional de Madeira