Alverca vs Famalicao prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 17Full time
Alverca
1-0
Famalicao
Model's readComplexo Desportivo FC Alverca
1 30%X 27%2 43%
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
78.1%
xG
1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.5
43%
Both score
48%
Form
Full stats →AlvercaWWLDLFamalicaoWDDDLMatch analysis
Model generatedFamalicao favoured at 43%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.06 goals for Alverca and 1.33 for Famalicao, giving 30% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 43% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.06 - 1.33
- Clean sheet chance: Alverca 27%, Famalicao 35%
Match result
1X2Alverca30.1%
Draw26.9%
Famalicao43.0%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Alverca
Average
6.3
Famalicao
Above average
AlvercaLast 10 gamesFamalicao0.90Points per game1.20
1.0Goals scored per game1.2
1.4Goals conceded per game0.9
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets40%
30%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira43′ 1-1 | 8 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave43′ 1-1 | 8 | -10 | 5 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Last 2 meetings1
Alverca
0
Draws
1
Famalicao
- 16 May 26Famalicao 1-0 Alverca
- 4 Jan 26Alverca 1-0 Famalicao