Vitória de Guimarães vs Nacional de Madeira prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 17Full time
Vitória de Guimarães
2-1
Nacional de Madeira
Model's readEstádio D. Afonso Henriques
1 49%X 25%2 27%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
73.5%
xG
1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
51%
Form
Full stats →Vitória de GuimarãesDLDLWNacional de MadeiraLLLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedVitória de Guimarães favoured at 49%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.54 goals for Vitória de Guimarães and 1.07 for Nacional de Madeira, giving 49% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.54 - 1.07
- Clean sheet chance: Vitória de Guimarães 34%, Nacional de Madeira 21%
Match result
1X2Vitória de Guimarães48.5%
Draw25.0%
Nacional de Madeira26.5%
Model rating
All ratings →4.7
Vitória de Guimarães
Average
3.9
Nacional de Madeira
Weak
Vitória de GuimarãesLast 10 gamesNacional de Madeira0.50Points per game0.70
0.6Goals scored per game1.0
1.6Goals conceded per game1.9
30%Over 2.5 goals50%
40%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets20%
50%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Vitória de GuimarãesDLDLWPortuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Vitória de Guimarães
2
Draws
3
Nacional de Madeira
- 23 Aug 26Vitória de Guimarães 1-0 Nacional de Madeira
- 16 May 26Nacional de Madeira 2-0 Vitória de Guimarães
- 2 Jan 26Vitória de Guimarães 2-1 Nacional de Madeira
- 3 May 25Nacional de Madeira 1-2 Vitória de Guimarães
- 23 Dec 24Vitória de Guimarães 2-2 Nacional de Madeira