Alverca vs Estrela Amadora Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

75.5%

xG

1.5 – 1.3

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →

AlvercaWWLDL

Estrela AmadoraLDWDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Alverca favoured at 43%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.48 goals for Alverca and 1.25 for Estrela Amadora, giving 43% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.48 - 1.25
Clean sheet chance: Alverca 29%, Estrela Amadora 23%

Match result

1X2

Alverca42.8%

Draw24.9%

Estrela Amadora32.2%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.0

Alverca

Average

4.6

Estrela Amadora

Average

AlvercaLast 10 games

Estrela Amadora

0.90Points per game1.20

1.0Goals scored per game1.8

1.4Goals conceded per game1.9

40%Over 2.5 goals80%

60%Both teams scored80%

10%Clean sheets10%

30%Failed to score20%

Recent results

AlvercaWWLDL

Estrela AmadoraLDWDW

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2