Nacional de Madeira vs Estoril Praia prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 26Full time
Nacional de Madeira
0-1
Estoril Praia
Model's readEstádio da Madeira
1 37%X 25%2 38%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.7%
xG
1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →Nacional de MadeiraLLLLLEstoril PraiaLLLDLMatch analysis
Model generatedEstoril Praia favoured at 38%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.37 goals for Nacional de Madeira and 1.38 for Estoril Praia, giving 37% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 38% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.37 - 1.38
- Clean sheet chance: Nacional de Madeira 25%, Estoril Praia 25%
Match result
1X2Nacional de Madeira37.3%
Draw25.1%
Estoril Praia37.6%
Model rating
All ratings →3.9
Nacional de Madeira
Weak
4.3
Estoril Praia
Average
Nacional de MadeiraLast 10 gamesEstoril Praia0.70Points per game0.30
1.0Goals scored per game0.6
1.9Goals conceded per game1.6
50%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets10%
40%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Nacional de Madeira
3
Draws
3
Estoril Praia
- 16 Aug 26Nacional de Madeira 2-0 Estoril Praia
- 15 Mar 26Nacional de Madeira 0-1 Estoril Praia
- 26 Oct 25Estoril Praia 1-1 Nacional de Madeira
- 15 Feb 25Nacional de Madeira 2-2 Estoril Praia
- 15 Sept 24Estoril Praia 1-0 Nacional de Madeira