Nacional de Madeira vs Estrela Amadora prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 28Full time
Nacional de Madeira
2-0
Estrela Amadora
Model's readEstádio da Madeira
1 40%X 25%2 35%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
77.0%
xG
1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
57%
Form
Full stats →Nacional de MadeiraLLLLLEstrela AmadoraLLDWDMatch analysis
Model generatedNacional de Madeira favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.46 goals for Nacional de Madeira and 1.36 for Estrela Amadora, giving 40% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.46 - 1.36
- Clean sheet chance: Nacional de Madeira 26%, Estrela Amadora 23%
Match result
1X2Nacional de Madeira40.1%
Draw24.7%
Estrela Amadora35.2%
Model rating
All ratings →3.9
Nacional de Madeira
Weak
4.6
Estrela Amadora
Average
Nacional de MadeiraLast 10 gamesEstrela Amadora0.70Points per game1.20
1.1Goals scored per game1.6
2.0Goals conceded per game1.7
50%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored70%
20%Clean sheets10%
40%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Nacional de MadeiraLLLLLPortuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 8 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Académico de Viseu | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Braga | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 8 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 8 | -8 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 5 meetings1
Nacional de Madeira
1
Draws
3
Estrela Amadora
- 30 Aug 26Nacional de Madeira 2-3 Estrela Amadora
- 4 Apr 26Nacional de Madeira 2-0 Estrela Amadora
- 9 Nov 25Estrela Amadora 1-1 Nacional de Madeira
- 6 Apr 25Nacional de Madeira 0-1 Estrela Amadora
- 10 Nov 24Estrela Amadora 2-0 Nacional de Madeira