Rio Ave vs Alverca Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

72.6%

xG

1.3 – 1.4

Over 2.5

49%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

Rio AveWLDLL

AlvercaWWLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

Alverca favoured at 39%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.27 goals for Rio Ave and 1.37 for Alverca, giving 35% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 39% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.27 - 1.37
Clean sheet chance: Rio Ave 25%, Alverca 28%

Match result

1X2

Rio Ave35.0%

Draw25.6%

Alverca39.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.1

Rio Ave

Average

5.0

Alverca

Average

Rio AveLast 10 games

Alverca

0.80Points per game0.90

1.0Goals scored per game1.0

2.2Goals conceded per game1.4

50%Over 2.5 goals40%

40%Both teams scored60%

10%Clean sheets10%

50%Failed to score30%

Recent results

Rio AveWLDLL

AlvercaWWLDL

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	8	+16	24
2	Sporting CP	8	+11	18
3	Santa Clara	8	+8	18
4	Benfica	7	+15	16
5▲	Arouca31′ 1-0	8	+4	14
6▼	Académico de Viseu	8	+1	14
7	Gil Vicente	7	+1	11
8	Braga	7	0	11
9	Estrela Amadora31′ 0-1	8	-1	10
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	8	-5	8
12	Moreirense	8	-7	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	8	-14	4
18	Estoril Praia	8	-8	2