Our pick
Home or Away (12)
xG
1.6 – 1.5
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
63%
The model makes Norwich slight favourites at 39%, against 36% for Southampton, with a 25% draw. The clearer lean is goals: over 2.5 comes in at 61%, and both teams to score at 63%. Expected goals are 1.61 for Norwich and 1.54 for Southampton.
Norwich
Above average
Southampton
Strong
3
Norwich
2
Draws
5
Southampton