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Bournemouth vs Brentford prediction, English EFL Cup

English EFL Cup · Round 2Full time

Bournemouth

0-2

Tue, 26 Aug

Brentford

Model's readVitality Stadium
1 42%X 26%2 32%

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

78.7%

xG

1.5 – 1.3

Over 2.5

55%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →
BournemouthLLWDW
BrentfordDWWDD

Match analysis

Model generated

Bournemouth favoured at 42%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.54 goals for Bournemouth and 1.33 for Brentford, giving 42% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 32% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 2921 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.54 - 1.33
  • Clean sheet chance: Bournemouth 26%, Brentford 21%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Bournemouth v Brentford

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Bournemouth41.7%
Draw25.9%
Brentford32.4%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.0

Bournemouth

Above average

6.3

Brentford

Above average

BournemouthLast 10 gamesBrentford
1.10Points per game1.80
1.5Goals scored per game2.3
1.6Goals conceded per game1.1
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
80%Both teams scored80%
10%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score0%

Recent results

BournemouthLLWDW
  • 10 OctAChelsea1-5
  • 20 SeptHLiverpool0-1
  • 17 SeptAReal Sociedad2-1
  • 12 SeptHBrentford2-2
  • 8 SeptHLincoln City4-0
  • 5 SeptANewcastle United2-2
BrentfordDWWDD
  • 10 OctAAston Villa2-2
  • 18 SeptHChelsea3-0
  • 15 SeptAReading2-1
  • 12 SeptABournemouth2-2
  • 5 SeptHSunderland1-1
  • 30 AugALeeds United1-1

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

0

Bournemouth

4

Draws

6

Brentford

  • 12 Sept 26Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford
  • 3 Mar 26Bournemouth 0-0 Brentford
  • 27 Dec 25Brentford 4-1 Bournemouth
  • 26 Aug 25Bournemouth 0-2 Brentford
  • 15 Mar 25Bournemouth 1-2 Brentford
Every meeting between these two →