Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
55%
The model projects 2.43 goals for Stade Malien and 0.90 for Simba, giving 71% for the home win, 18% for the draw and 11% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
1
Stade Malien
0
Draws
1
Simba