Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
51%
The model's strongest read is over 1.5 goals at 78%, well above the 60% norm for this competition. Stade Malien are favoured at home with a 61% win chance, with 1.92 expected goals against 0.89 for Espérance. Treat these as probabilities, not guarantees.
1
Stade Malien
1
Draws
0
Espérance de Tunis