Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
46%
The model's strongest selection is Panama or a draw at 65%, well above the 52% norm for this competition. That gap is the key signal, not the raw figure. Expected goals are close at 1.13 for Ghana and 1.10 for Panama, so a tight game is the model's base case.
Ghana
Average
Panama
Average
1
Ghana
0
Draws
0
Panama