Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
xG
1.1 – 0.9
Over 2.5
34%
Both score
42%
The model's strongest selection is Under 2.5 goals at 66%, well above the 52% norm for this competition. Paraguay are the likelier winner at 40%, but a draw at 32% is close. Expected goals total 2.05, so a low-scoring game is the base case.
Paraguay
Above average
Australia
Average
0
Paraguay
4
Draws
2
Australia