San Lorenzo vs Independiente prediction, Argentine Liga Profesional
Argentine Liga Profesional · Round 9Full time
San Lorenzo
1-2
Independiente
Model's readEstadio Pedro Bidegaín
1 32%X 35%2 34%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
68.3%
xG
0.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
28%
Both score
37%
Form
Full stats →San LorenzoLLDWLIndependienteLWDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedHonours even: the draw is the single most likely result at 35%
The model projects 0.90 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.93 for Independiente, giving 32% for the home win, 35% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-0 at 17%
- Expected goals: 0.90 - 0.93
- Clean sheet chance: San Lorenzo 39%, Independiente 41%
Match result
1X2San Lorenzo31.7%
Draw34.7%
Independiente33.6%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
San Lorenzo
Average
5.9
Independiente
Above average
San LorenzoLast 10 gamesIndependiente1.10Points per game1.40
0.4Goals scored per game0.9
1.0Goals conceded per game1.2
10%Over 2.5 goals40%
10%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets30%
60%Failed to score40%
Recent results
San LorenzoLLDWLArgentine Liga Profesional
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 16 | +12 | 31 |
| 1 |  Independiente Rivadavia | 16 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | +10 | 29 |
| 3 |  Vélez Sarsfield | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 3 |  Argentinos Juniors | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | +4 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres de Córdoba | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Belgrano | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 16 | 0 | 26 |
| 6 |  Lanús | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  Huracán | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 8 |  Unión | 16 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa y Justicia | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 16 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  Sarmiento | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Atlético Tucumán | 16 | -5 | 14 |
| 13 |  Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero | 16 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newell's Old Boys | 16 | -12 | 15 |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 16 | -19 | 5 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 9 meetings0
San Lorenzo
6
Draws
3
Independiente
- 13 Sept 26Independiente 1-1 San Lorenzo
- 2 May 26San Lorenzo 1-2 Independiente
- 21 Sept 25Independiente 1-1 San Lorenzo
- 8 Mar 25San Lorenzo 1-2 Independiente
- 3 Aug 24Independiente 0-0 San Lorenzo