Vélez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys prediction, Argentine Liga Profesional
Argentine Liga Profesional · Round 9Full time
Vélez Sarsfield
1-1
Newell's Old Boys
Model's readEstadio José Amalfitani
1 50%X 30%2 21%
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
79.4%
xG
1.4 – 0.8
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
42%
Form
Full stats →Vélez SarsfieldDWDWDNewell's Old BoysDWDDDMatch analysis
Model generatedVélez Sarsfield favoured at 50%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.37 goals for Vélez Sarsfield and 0.79 for Newell's Old Boys, giving 50% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 15%
- Expected goals: 1.37 - 0.79
- Clean sheet chance: Vélez Sarsfield 45%, Newell's Old Boys 25%
Match result
1X2Vélez Sarsfield49.5%
Draw29.8%
Newell's Old Boys20.6%
Model rating
All ratings →6.7
Vélez Sarsfield
Above average
5.5
Newell's Old Boys
Above average
Vélez SarsfieldLast 10 gamesNewell's Old Boys1.80Points per game1.40
1.6Goals scored per game1.0
1.1Goals conceded per game0.8
40%Over 2.5 goals30%
80%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets40%
0%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Vélez SarsfieldDWDWDArgentine Liga Profesional
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 16 | +12 | 31 |
| 1 |  Independiente Rivadavia | 16 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | +10 | 29 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 | Vélez Sarsfield | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 3 |  Argentinos Juniors | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 4 |  Talleres de Córdoba | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 |  Belgrano | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanús | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 |  Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 16 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 |  Huracán | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Unión | 16 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa y Justicia | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 16 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  Sarmiento | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Atlético Tucumán | 16 | -5 | 14 |
| 13 |  Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero | 16 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | -13 | 8 |
| 14 | Newell's Old Boys | 16 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 16 | -19 | 5 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | -7 | 11 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.