Independiente vs Unión prediction, Argentine Liga Profesional
Independiente
4-4
Unión
Model's readEstadio Libertadores de América
1 45%X 28%2 28%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.0%
xG
1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →IndependienteLWDWLUniónLLLLWMatch analysis
Model generatedIndependiente favoured at 45%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.50 goals for Independiente and 1.14 for Unión, giving 45% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.50 - 1.14
- Clean sheet chance: Independiente 32%, Unión 22%
Match result
1X2Independiente44.6%
Draw27.6%
Unión27.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.9
Independiente
Above average
5.3
Unión
Average
IndependienteLast 10 gamesUnión1.40Points per game1.20
0.9Goals scored per game1.5
1.2Goals conceded per game1.7
40%Over 2.5 goals80%
40%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets0%
40%Failed to score30%
Recent results
IndependienteLWDWLArgentine Liga Profesional
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente Rivadavia | 16 | +14 | 34 |
| 2▼ |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 16 | +12 | 31 |
| 3▼ |  Boca Juniors | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 4▼ |  River Plate | 16 | +10 | 29 |
| 5▼ |  Argentinos Juniors | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 6▼ |  Vélez Sarsfield | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 7▼ |  Rosario Central | 16 | +4 | 28 |
| 8▼ |  Talleres de Córdoba | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 9▼ |  Belgrano | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 10▼ |  Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 16 | 0 | 26 |
| 11▼ |  San Lorenzo 1-0 | 17 | +1 | 25 |
| 12▼ | Independiente | 16 | +4 | 24 |
| 13▼ |  Lanús | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 14▼ |  Huracán | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 15▼ | Unión | 16 | +4 | 21 |
| 16▼ |  Racing Club | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 17▼ |  Instituto | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 18▼ |  Barracas Central | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 19▼ |  Tigre | 16 | +3 | 20 |
| 20▼ |  Defensa y Justicia | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 21▼ |  Sarmiento | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 22▼ |  Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 16 | -8 | 19 |
| 23▼ |  Banfield | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 24▼ |  Platense | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 25▼ |  Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero | 16 | -10 | 16 |
| 26▼ |  Newell's Old Boys | 16 | -12 | 15 |
| 27▼ |  Atlético Tucumán | 16 | -5 | 14 |
| 28▼ |  Deportivo Riestra 0-1 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 29▼ |  Aldosivi | 16 | -13 | 8 |
| 30▼ |  Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 16 | -19 | 5 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.