Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

78.7%

xG

1.2 – 1.2

Over 2.5

42%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →

VitóriaWLDWL

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Vitória favoured at 36%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.19 goals for Vitória and 1.17 for Atlético Mineiro, giving 36% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 35% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
Expected goals: 1.19 - 1.17
Clean sheet chance: Vitória 31%, Atlético Mineiro 30%

Match result

1X2

Vitória35.6%

Draw29.8%

Atlético Mineiro34.6%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.8

Vitória

Average

6.3

Atlético Mineiro

Above average

VitóriaLast 10 games

Atlético Mineiro

1.00Points per game1.90

1.0Goals scored per game1.6

1.7Goals conceded per game1.0

50%Over 2.5 goals60%

30%Both teams scored60%

30%Clean sheets30%

40%Failed to score20%

Recent results

VitóriaWLDWL

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8▲	São Paulo 2-1	28	+3	39
9▼	Santos	27	+1	38
10▼	Coritiba	28	-6	38
11▼	Bragantino	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória 1-2	29	-15	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18