Chapecoense vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

73.5%

xG

1.1 – 1.6

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →

ChapecoenseLDLWL

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Atlético Mineiro favoured at 47%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.14 goals for Chapecoense and 1.59 for Atlético Mineiro, giving 27% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 47% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.14 - 1.59
Clean sheet chance: Chapecoense 20%, Atlético Mineiro 32%

Match result

1X2

Chapecoense26.5%

Draw26.6%

Atlético Mineiro46.9%

Model rating

All ratings →

2.4

Chapecoense

Struggling

6.3

Atlético Mineiro

Above average

ChapecoenseLast 10 games

Atlético Mineiro

0.90Points per game1.90

1.2Goals scored per game1.6

2.2Goals conceded per game1.0

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

70%Both teams scored60%

10%Clean sheets30%

20%Failed to score20%

Recent results

ChapecoenseLDLWL

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18