Athletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick Strong

Home Win

72.8%

xG

2.5 – 0.8

Over 2.5

64%

Both score

53%

Form

Full stats →

Athletico ParanaenseDWDLD

ChapecoenseLDLWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Athletico Paranaense favoured at 73%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.48 goals for Athletico Paranaense and 0.84 for Chapecoense, giving 73% for the home win, 17% for the draw and 10% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 11%
Expected goals: 2.48 - 0.84
Clean sheet chance: Athletico Paranaense 43%, Chapecoense 8%

Match result

1X2

Athletico Paranaense72.8%

Draw17.1%

Chapecoense10.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.5

Athletico Paranaense

Above average

2.4

Chapecoense

Struggling

Athletico ParanaenseLast 10 games

Chapecoense

1.70Points per game0.90

1.9Goals scored per game1.2

1.5Goals conceded per game2.2

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

70%Both teams scored70%

30%Clean sheets10%

10%Failed to score20%

Recent results

Athletico ParanaenseDWDLD

ChapecoenseLDLWL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18