Mirassol vs Bahia prediction, Brazilian Série A
Brazilian Série A · Round 11Full time
Mirassol
1-2
Bahia
Model's readEstádio José Maria de Campos Maia
1 44%X 27%2 29%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.3%
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →MirassolDWDWLBahiaLLWWWMatch analysis
EnhancedMirassol narrow favourites at home, 44% to win
The model makes Mirassol the most likely winner at 44%, ahead of Bahia at 29% and a draw at 27%. Expected goals are 1.49 for Mirassol and 1.17 for Bahia. Bahia rate higher overall, so this is a lean, not a clear edge.
Match result
1X2Mirassol43.5%
Draw27.4%
Bahia29.1%
Model rating
All ratings →6.0
Mirassol
Above average
6.4
Bahia
Above average
MirassolLast 10 gamesBahia1.30Points per game1.60
1.3Goals scored per game1.5
1.7Goals conceded per game1.2
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
80%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Brazilian Série A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |  Athletico Paranaense | 28 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |  Atlético Mineiro | 27 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |  Bragantino | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |  São Paulo | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |  Vitória | 28 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco da Gama | 27 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |  Grêmio | 28 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 27 | -24 | 18 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 3 meetings1
Mirassol
1
Draws
1
Bahia
- 11 Apr 26Mirassol 1-2 Bahia
- 31 Aug 25Mirassol 5-1 Bahia
- 13 Apr 25Bahia 1-1 Mirassol