Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction, Major League Soccer
Major League Soccer · Round 15Full time
Portland Timbers
1-3
San Jose Earthquakes
Model's readProvidence Park
1 44%X 23%2 34%
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
77.2%
xG
1.9 – 1.6
Over 2.5
67%
Both score
68%
Form
Full stats →Portland TimbersDLLLDSan Jose EarthquakesDWDWWMatch analysis
Model generatedPortland Timbers favoured at 44%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.85 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.61 for San Jose Earthquakes, giving 44% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 1.85 - 1.61
- Clean sheet chance: Portland Timbers 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 16%
Match result
1X2Portland Timbers43.6%
Draw22.8%
San Jose Earthquakes33.6%
Model rating
All ratings →4.8
Portland Timbers
Average
5.4
San Jose Earthquakes
Average
Portland TimbersLast 10 gamesSan Jose Earthquakes0.90Points per game1.30
1.8Goals scored per game1.3
2.1Goals conceded per game1.6
80%Over 2.5 goals50%
90%Both teams scored70%
0%Clean sheets20%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Portland TimbersDLLLDMajor League Soccer
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | +31 | 51 |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 28 | +37 | 63 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City SC | 27 | +12 | 47 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 28 | +18 | 49 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 28 | +7 | 47 |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 28 | +11 | 48 |
| 4 |  New England Revolution | 28 | +6 | 46 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Charlotte FC | 28 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 28 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 29 | +13 | 42 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 28 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 28 | +3 | 41 |
| 7 |  Orlando City | 28 | -15 | 37 |
| 8 |  Colorado Rapids | 28 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 28 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 |  LA Galaxy | 28 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 27 | -7 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 28 | +4 | 33 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 28 | -11 | 32 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 28 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 |  San Diego FC | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 |  DC United | 27 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 28 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 |  Austin FC | 28 | -15 | 31 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United | 28 | -15 | 27 |
| 14 |  Minnesota United | 28 | -9 | 30 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 28 | -33 | 22 |
| 15 |  CF Montréal | 28 | -21 | 24 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Portland Timbers
2
Draws
4
San Jose Earthquakes
- 27 Sept 26San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland Timbers
- 24 May 26Portland Timbers 1-3 San Jose Earthquakes
- 14 Jun 25Portland Timbers 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes
- 4 May 25San Jose Earthquakes 4-1 Portland Timbers
- 20 Jun 24San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Portland Timbers