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Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls prediction, Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer · Round 16Full time

Philadelphia Union

3-1

Thu, 23 Jul

New York Red Bulls

Model's readSubaru Park
1 65%X 19%2 16%

Our pick

Home Win

65.1%

xG

2.3 – 1.0

Over 2.5

64%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →
Philadelphia UnionWWWWW
New York Red BullsWLWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Philadelphia Union favoured at 65%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.27 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.02 for New York Red Bulls, giving 65% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 10%
  • Expected goals: 2.27 - 1.02
  • Clean sheet chance: Philadelphia Union 36%, New York Red Bulls 10%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Philadelphia Union v New York Red Bulls

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Philadelphia Union65.1%
Draw19.4%
New York Red Bulls15.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
7.0

Philadelphia Union

Strong

4.4

New York Red Bulls

Average

Philadelphia UnionLast 10 gamesNew York Red Bulls
2.60Points per game1.10
3.1Goals scored per game0.9
1.2Goals conceded per game1.3
80%Over 2.5 goals40%
70%Both teams scored40%
30%Clean sheets30%
0%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Philadelphia UnionWWWWW
  • 10 OctHReal Salt Lake2-1
  • 26 SeptHOrlando City4-2
  • 20 SeptASporting Kansas City4-3
  • 14 SeptASan Diego FC5-0
  • 9 SeptHFC Cincinnati5-0
  • 5 SeptHCF Montréal2-0
New York Red BullsWLWWL
  • 10 OctHSan Diego FC4-1
  • 30 SeptHSt. Louis City SC0-3
  • 18 SeptANew York City FC1-0
  • 12 SeptAColumbus Crew1-0
  • 10 SeptALos Angeles FC0-2
  • 6 SeptASeattle Sounders0-0

Major League Soccer

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Nashville SC27+3460
2▼Vancouver Whitecaps64′ 1-128+3151
3▼St. Louis City SC27+1247
4▼FC Dallas27+847
5▼Inter Miami27+1446
6▼New England Revolution27+946
7▼San Jose Earthquakes27+1045
8▼Chicago Fire27+1045
9▼Houston Dynamo27+244
10▼Charlotte FC27+943
11▼Los Angeles FC64′ 1-129+1342
12▼Philadelphia Union27+1039
13▼Seattle Sounders27038
14▼Colorado Rapids27036
15▼LA Galaxy28-736
16▼Orlando City27-1634
17▼New York City FC27+533
18▼FC Cincinnati26-933
19▼New York Red Bulls27-1733
20▼San Diego FC27032
21▼Portland Timbers27-332
22▼Real Salt Lake27-432
23▼Austin FC27-1231
24▼DC United26-830
25▼Columbus Crew27-429
26▼Minnesota United27-929
27▼Toronto FC27-1229
28▼Atlanta United27-1327
29▼CF Montréal27-2024
30▼Sporting Kansas City27-3321
Top four Bottom three Moving with 1 game in play

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

7

Philadelphia Union

2

Draws

1

New York Red Bulls

  • 30 Aug 26New York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia Union
  • 23 Jul 26Philadelphia Union 3-1 New York Red Bulls
  • 17 Aug 25New York Red Bulls 1-0 Philadelphia Union
  • 13 Jul 25Philadelphia Union 2-0 New York Red Bulls
  • 1 Sept 24New York Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia Union
Every meeting between these two →