Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
46%
Both score
52%
Guinea are the model's pick at 41%, against 31% for Togo and 29% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.36 for Guinea and 1.15 for Togo, and 1-1 is the single likeliest scoreline at 14%. The edge is modest, so this is a lean rather than a strong call.
Guinea
Average
Togo
Above average
6
Guinea
1
Draws
2
Togo