Lech Poznań vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction, UEFA Conference League
UEFA Conference League · Round 16Full time
Lech Poznań
1-3
Shakhtar Donetsk
Model's readENEA Stadion
1 51%X 22%2 27%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
73.3%
xG
1.9 – 1.3
Over 2.5
62%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →Lech PoznańLDWWWShakhtar DonetskDLLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedLech Poznań favoured at 51%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.90 goals for Lech Poznań and 1.32 for Shakhtar Donetsk, giving 51% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 1.90 - 1.32
- Clean sheet chance: Lech Poznań 27%, Shakhtar Donetsk 15%
Match result
1X2Lech Poznań51.1%
Draw22.2%
Shakhtar Donetsk26.7%
Lech PoznańLast 10 gamesShakhtar Donetsk1.90Points per game1.50
2.3Goals scored per game1.6
1.4Goals conceded per game1.2
80%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored70%
40%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 2 meetings1
Lech Poznań
0
Draws
1
Shakhtar Donetsk
- 19 Mar 26Shakhtar Donetsk 1-2 Lech Poznań
- 12 Mar 26Lech Poznań 1-3 Shakhtar Donetsk