Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.8 – 1.1
Over 2.5
74%
Both score
62%
Lech Poznań are favoured at 72%, well above the 49% norm for this competition, and that gap is the main signal. Their attack (7th best) meets Thun's defence (10th weakest), with 3 clean sheets in the last 6.
1
Lech Poznań
1
Draws
0
Thun