Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
50%
The model's strongest pick is Home or Draw, at 79% against a 69% norm for this competition. The gap matters more than the raw figure. Motherwell are rated 55% to win, and Aberdeen have scored just 0.9 goals a game away.
Motherwell
Above average
Aberdeen
Average
3
Motherwell
2
Draws
5
Aberdeen