Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
47%
Both score
52%
The model makes Espanyol the narrow pick at 41%, against 32% for Sevilla and 27% for a draw. That lean comes from the home side's expected goals (1.38 against 1.18), since the model rates Sevilla higher overall. Goals markets sit close to even, so there is little edge there.
Espanyol
Average
Sevilla
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +25 | 24 | |
| 2 | 7 | +9 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | +2 | 16 | |
| 4 | 7 | +10 | 15 | |
| 5 | 7 | +1 | 13 | |
| 6 | 7 | +5 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | +2 | 10 | |
| 8 | 7 | -4 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | +1 | 8 | |
| 10 | 6 | +1 | 8 | |
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | -5 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | 8 | |
| 15 | 7 | +2 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | -10 | 7 | |
| 17 | 6 | -4 | 5 | |
| 18 | 7 | -6 | 5 | |
| 19 | 7 | -9 | 4 | |
| 20 | 8 | -9 | 4 |
1
Espanyol
4
Draws
5
Sevilla