Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.6 – 0.7
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
49%
The model makes Russia favourites at 77%, with a draw at 15% and Namibia at 8%. The real signal is the gap: the competition norm for home wins is 48%. Russia's attack meets a Namibia defence ranked 16th weakest, and Namibia have failed to score in their last six.
Russia
Above average
Namibia
Average
1
Russia
0
Draws
0
Namibia