Corinthians vs Chapecoense Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick Strong

Home or Away (12)

76.9%

xG

1.9 – 0.9

Over 2.5

52%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →

CorinthiansLLLLL

ChapecoenseLDLWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Corinthians favoured at 62%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.91 goals for Corinthians and 0.85 for Chapecoense, giving 62% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.91 - 0.85
Clean sheet chance: Corinthians 43%, Chapecoense 15%

Match result

1X2

Corinthians61.5%

Draw23.1%

Chapecoense15.4%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.9

Corinthians

Average

2.4

Chapecoense

Struggling

CorinthiansLast 10 games

Chapecoense

0.50Points per game0.90

0.9Goals scored per game1.2

1.5Goals conceded per game2.2

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

70%Both teams scored70%

20%Clean sheets10%

20%Failed to score20%

Recent results

CorinthiansLLLLL

ChapecoenseLDLWL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18