Coritiba vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

74.3%

xG

1.6 – 1.4

Over 2.5

58%

Both score

61%

Form

Full stats →

CoritibaLLDLW

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Coritiba favoured at 40%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.58 goals for Coritiba and 1.44 for Vasco da Gama, giving 40% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 34% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.58 - 1.44
Clean sheet chance: Coritiba 24%, Vasco da Gama 21%

Match result

1X2

Coritiba40.1%

Draw25.7%

Vasco da Gama34.2%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.6

Coritiba

Average

5.1

Vasco da Gama

Average

CoritibaLast 10 games

Vasco da Gama

1.20Points per game1.50

1.2Goals scored per game1.4

2.0Goals conceded per game1.2

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

60%Both teams scored50%

10%Clean sheets30%

40%Failed to score40%

Recent results

CoritibaLLDLW

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18