Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

76.0%

xG

1.2 – 1.8

Over 2.5

58%

Both score

59%

Form

Full stats →

ChapecoenseLDLWL

Athletico ParanaenseDWDLD

Match analysis

Model generated

Athletico Paranaense favoured at 52%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.19 goals for Chapecoense and 1.82 for Athletico Paranaense, giving 24% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 52% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.19 - 1.82
Clean sheet chance: Chapecoense 16%, Athletico Paranaense 31%

Match result

1X2

Chapecoense24.0%

Draw24.5%

Athletico Paranaense51.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

2.4

Chapecoense

Struggling

6.5

Athletico Paranaense

Above average

ChapecoenseLast 10 games

Athletico Paranaense

0.90Points per game1.70

1.2Goals scored per game1.9

2.2Goals conceded per game1.5

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

70%Both teams scored70%

10%Clean sheets30%

20%Failed to score10%

Recent results

ChapecoenseLDLWL

Athletico ParanaenseDWDLD

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8▲	São Paulo79′ 2-1	28	+3	39
9▼	Santos	27	+1	38
10▼	Coritiba	28	-6	38
11▼	Bragantino	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória79′ 1-2	29	-15	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18