Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.0 – 1.5
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
49%
The model projects 0.96 goals for Corinthians and 1.53 for Flamengo, giving 23% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 50% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Corinthians
Average
Flamengo
Elite
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | +32 | 60 | |
| 2 | 28 | +26 | 57 | |
| 3 | 28 | +11 | 49 | |
| 4 | 28 | +8 | 48 | |
| 5 | 28 | +8 | 46 | |
| 6 | 28 | +2 | 45 | |
| 7 | 27 | +4 | 40 | |
| 8 | 27 | +1 | 38 | |
| 9 | 28 | -6 | 38 | |
| 10 | 27 | +2 | 36 | |
| 11 | 27 | +2 | 36 | |
| 12 | 28 | -4 | 35 | |
| 13 | 28 | -14 | 33 | |
| 14 | 28 | -3 | 32 | |
| 15 | 28 | -9 | 32 | |
| 16 | 27 | -7 | 31 | |
| 17 | 28 | -8 | 29 | |
| 18 | 28 | -6 | 28 | |
| 19 | 28 | -15 | 23 | |
| 20 | 27 | -24 | 18 |
3
Corinthians
2
Draws
5
Flamengo