Grêmio vs Chapecoense prediction, Brazilian Série A
Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
78.4%
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →
GrêmioDDLLL
ChapecoenseLDLWLMatch analysis
Model generatedGrêmio favoured at 61%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.93 goals for Grêmio and 0.91 for Chapecoense, giving 61% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.93 - 0.91
- Clean sheet chance: Grêmio 40%, Chapecoense 14%
Match result
1X2Grêmio60.5%
Draw23.0%
Chapecoense16.5%
Model rating
All ratings →4.7
Grêmio
Average
2.4
Chapecoense
Struggling
GrêmioLast 10 gamesChapecoense0.90Points per game0.90
1.0Goals scored per game1.2
1.4Goals conceded per game2.2
50%Over 2.5 goals80%
60%Both teams scored70%
10%Clean sheets10%
40%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Brazilian Série A
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |  Athletico Paranaense | 28 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |  Atlético Mineiro | 27 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |  Bragantino | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |  São Paulo | 27 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |  Vitória | 28 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco da Gama | 27 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Grêmio | 28 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 27 | -24 | 18 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.