Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.1 – 0.7
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
43%
The model makes Flamengo clear favourites at 69%, well above the 48% norm for home wins in this competition. Expected goals are 2.07 for Flamengo and 0.67 for Corinthians. Corinthians' six straight defeats point the same way, though this is a probability, not a guarantee.
Flamengo
Elite
Corinthians
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | +32 | 60 | |
| 2 | 28 | +26 | 57 | |
| 3 | 28 | +11 | 49 | |
| 4 | 28 | +8 | 48 | |
| 5 | 28 | +8 | 46 | |
| 6 | 28 | +2 | 45 | |
| 7 | 27 | +4 | 40 | |
| 8 | 27 | +1 | 38 | |
| 9 | 28 | -6 | 38 | |
| 10 | 27 | +2 | 36 | |
| 11 | 27 | +2 | 36 | |
| 12 | 28 | -4 | 35 | |
| 13 | 28 | -14 | 33 | |
| 14 | 28 | -3 | 32 | |
| 15▲ | 28 | -7 | 32 | |
| 16▼ | 28 | -9 | 32 | |
| 17 | 28 | -8 | 29 | |
| 18 | 28 | -6 | 28 | |
| 19 | 29 | -15 | 24 | |
| 20 | 27 | -24 | 18 |
5
Flamengo
2
Draws
3
Corinthians