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Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction, German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga · Round 3Full time

Mainz

3-1

Sat, 9 Sept

Bayer Leverkusen

Model's read
1 37%X 25%2 38%

Our pick

Home or Away (12)

75.2%

xG

1.6 – 1.6

Over 2.5

62%

Both score

65%

Form

Full stats →
MainzLWLWD
Bayer LeverkusenWWWDW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Leverkusen narrowly favoured; goals lean likely

The model makes Bayer Leverkusen a narrow favourite at 38%, with Mainz at 37% and a draw at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is rated 62%, and both teams to score 65%. This is a close game, so treat the goals call as stronger than the result call.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Mainz v Bayer Leverkusen

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Mainz37.0%
Draw24.8%
Bayer Leverkusen38.2%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

Mainz

Above average

7.1

Bayer Leverkusen

Strong

MainzLast 10 gamesBayer Leverkusen
1.40Points per game2.00
2.2Goals scored per game2.4
1.9Goals conceded per game1.4
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
70%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score0%

Recent results

MainzLWLWD
  • 10 OctHBayer Leverkusen3-4
  • 19 SeptABorussia Mönchengladbach4-3
  • 12 SeptHEintracht Frankfurt1-3
  • 6 SeptAHamburg5-0
  • 29 AugHPaderborn0-0
  • 16 MayAFC Heidenheim2-0
Bayer LeverkusenWWWDW
  • 10 OctAMainz4-3
  • 20 SeptHRB Leipzig2-0
  • 16 SeptHCelje2-0
  • 12 SeptAAugsburg2-2
  • 5 SeptHUnion Berlin4-0
  • 29 AugAElversberg2-3

German Bundesliga

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Borussia Dortmund5+713
2Bayern Munich4+1210
3Freiburg4+910
4Werder Bremen508
5Augsburg4+57
6Bayer Leverkusen4+57
7Mainz4+47
8Elversberg4+17
9RB Leipzig4+46
10Eintracht Frankfurt4-15
11Schalke 044-15
12Paderborn4-24
13Köln4-34
14Hoffenheim4-33
15Stuttgart4-33
16Hamburg4-113
17Union Berlin4-131
18Borussia Mönchengladbach4-100
Top four Bottom three

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2

Mainz

2

Draws

6

Bayer Leverkusen

  • 28 Feb 26Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Mainz
  • 18 Oct 25Mainz 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 17 May 25Mainz 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 14 Jan 25Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 Mainz
  • 23 Feb 24Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Mainz
Every meeting between these two →