Marseille vs Troyes Prediction — French Ligue 1

Our pick

Home Win

69.0%

xG

2.4 – 0.9

Over 2.5

64%

Both score

56%

Form

Full stats →

MarseilleLLLLL

TroyesLLLWD

Match analysis

Model generated

Marseille favoured at 69%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.38 goals for Marseille and 0.93 for Troyes, giving 69% for the home win, 18% for the draw and 13% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 10%
Expected goals: 2.38 - 0.93
Clean sheet chance: Marseille 39%, Troyes 9%

Match result

1X2

Marseille69.0%

Draw18.4%

Troyes12.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.9

Marseille

Above average

3.2

Troyes

Weak

MarseilleLast 10 games

Troyes

1.00Points per game0.60

1.3Goals scored per game0.8

1.7Goals conceded per game2.2

60%Over 2.5 goals50%

50%Both teams scored60%

20%Clean sheets10%

30%Failed to score40%

Recent results

MarseilleLLLLL

TroyesLLLWD

French Ligue 1

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	+5	13
2	Lyon	6	+7	11
3	Paris FC	5	+5	11
4	Lille	5	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	-1	10
6	Paris Saint-Germain	5	+1	8
7	Lens	6	+1	7
8	Angers	5	+1	7
9	Strasbourg	5	0	7
10	Le Mans	5	0	6
11	Auxerre	5	-5	6
12	Brest	5	-1	5
13	Lorient	5	-1	5
14	Toulouse	5	-2	5
15	Nice	5	-3	5
16	Troyes	5	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	-3	2