Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille Prediction — French Ligue 1

Our pick Strong

Home or Away (12)

79.0%

xG

2.2 – 1.1

Over 2.5

65%

Both score

61%

Form

Full stats →

Paris Saint-GermainWWWWL

MarseilleLLLLL

Match analysis

Model generated

Paris Saint-Germain favoured at 61%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.19 goals for Paris Saint-Germain and 1.14 for Marseille, giving 61% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 10%
Expected goals: 2.19 - 1.14
Clean sheet chance: Paris Saint-Germain 32%, Marseille 11%

Match result

1X2

Paris Saint-Germain60.8%

Draw21.0%

Marseille18.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.1

Paris Saint-Germain

Strong

5.9

Marseille

Above average

Paris Saint-GermainLast 10 games

Marseille

1.80Points per game1.00

2.1Goals scored per game1.3

1.2Goals conceded per game1.7

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

80%Both teams scored50%

20%Clean sheets20%

0%Failed to score30%

Recent results

Paris Saint-GermainWWWWL

MarseilleLLLLL

French Ligue 1

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	6	+5	14
2	Lille	6	+5	13
3	Lyon	6	+7	11
4	Paris FC	6	+4	11
5	Paris Saint-Germain	6	+3	11
6	Rennes	5	-1	10
7	Brest	6	+3	8
8	Lorient	6	0	8
9	Lens	6	+1	7
10	Strasbourg	5	0	7
11	Angers	6	-3	7
12▲	Marseille 1-0	6	0	6
13▼	Le Mans	6	-2	6
14▼	Toulouse	6	-2	6
15▼	Auxerre	5	-5	6
16▼	Nice	5	-3	5
17▼	Troyes 0-1	6	-8	4
18	Le Havre	6	-4	2