Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

75.7%

xG

1.4 – 1.1

Over 2.5

46%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →

Celta VigoWLDDD

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Celta Vigo favoured at 44%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.41 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.09 for Athletic Bilbao, giving 44% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.41 - 1.09
Clean sheet chance: Celta Vigo 33%, Athletic Bilbao 25%

Match result

1X2

Celta Vigo43.8%

Draw27.1%

Athletic Bilbao29.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.4

Celta Vigo

Average

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

Celta VigoLast 10 games

Athletic Bilbao

1.10Points per game1.00

1.0Goals scored per game1.0

0.8Goals conceded per game1.3

20%Over 2.5 goals30%

40%Both teams scored40%

40%Clean sheets40%

40%Failed to score40%

Recent results

Celta VigoWLDDD

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	+27	24
2	Atlético Madrid	8	+10	19
3	Real Madrid	8	+11	18
4	Real Betis	7	+2	16
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	8	+4	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9▲	Celta Vigo90′ 0-0	8	+2	8
10▼	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
11▼	Villarreal	8	0	8
12▼	Espanyol	8	0	8
13▼	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
14▼	Getafe	8	-6	8
15▼	Osasuna	7	-7	8
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17▲	Elche90′ 0-0	8	-6	6
18▼	Levante	6	-4	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4