Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Home Win

71.7%

xG

2.4 – 0.9

Over 2.5

63%

Both score

52%

Form

Full stats →

BarcelonaWWWWW

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Barcelona favoured at 72%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.41 goals for Barcelona and 0.85 for Athletic Bilbao, giving 72% for the home win, 17% for the draw and 11% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 11%
Expected goals: 2.41 - 0.85
Clean sheet chance: Barcelona 43%, Athletic Bilbao 9%

Match result

1X2

Barcelona71.7%

Draw17.1%

Athletic Bilbao11.2%

Model rating

All ratings →

9.6

Barcelona

Elite

5.3

Athletic Bilbao

Average

BarcelonaLast 10 games

Athletic Bilbao

2.70Points per game1.00

4.0Goals scored per game1.0

1.1Goals conceded per game1.3

90%Over 2.5 goals30%

60%Both teams scored40%

40%Clean sheets40%

0%Failed to score40%

Recent results

BarcelonaWWWWW

Athletic BilbaoDDDWW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	+24	21
2	Atlético Madrid	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	+5	11
7	Deportivo de A Coruña	7	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	+1	8
10	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Getafe	7	-3	8
13	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4