PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior Prediction — Dutch Eredivisie

Our pick

Home Win

68.5%

xG

2.6 – 1.1

Over 2.5

73%

Both score

64%

Form

Full stats →

PSV EindhovenWLWDW

ExcelsiorDLDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

PSV Eindhoven favoured at 69%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.65 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.14 for Excelsior, giving 69% for the home win, 18% for the draw and 13% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 9%
Expected goals: 2.65 - 1.14
Clean sheet chance: PSV Eindhoven 32%, Excelsior 7%

Match result

1X2

PSV Eindhoven68.5%

Draw18.2%

Excelsior13.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

9.2

PSV Eindhoven

Elite

5.4

Excelsior

Average

PSV EindhovenLast 10 games

Excelsior

2.30Points per game1.80

3.2Goals scored per game2.2

1.2Goals conceded per game1.4

80%Over 2.5 goals90%

90%Both teams scored80%

10%Clean sheets20%

0%Failed to score0%

Recent results

PSV EindhovenWLWDW

ExcelsiorDLDWW

Dutch Eredivisie

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1▲	PSV Eindhoven	8	+16	19
2▼	AZ Alkmaar	7	+12	19
3	Feyenoord	7	+18	17
4	Twente	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	-1	8
12▲	Utrecht55′ 1-0	8	-12	8
13▼	Sparta Rotterdam	7	-7	5
14▼	Telstar	7	-7	5
15▼	Cambuur	7	-9	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	-10	2
18	Willem II55′ 0-1	8	-15	2