Groningen vs Excelsior Prediction — Dutch Eredivisie

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

70.9%

xG

1.7 – 1.3

Over 2.5

58%

Both score

61%

Form

Full stats →

GroningenWWDDL

ExcelsiorLDLDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Groningen favoured at 44%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.68 goals for Groningen and 1.34 for Excelsior, giving 44% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.68 - 1.34
Clean sheet chance: Groningen 26%, Excelsior 19%

Match result

1X2

Groningen44.2%

Draw26.7%

Excelsior29.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.8

Groningen

Above average

5.4

Excelsior

Average

GroningenLast 10 games

Excelsior

1.70Points per game1.50

2.2Goals scored per game2.0

1.7Goals conceded per game1.7

80%Over 2.5 goals90%

80%Both teams scored80%

10%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score0%

Recent results

GroningenWWDDL

ExcelsiorLDLDW

Dutch Eredivisie

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	8	+20	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	+16	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	+10	19
4	Twente	8	+8	17
5	Ajax	8	+12	15
6	Fortuna Sittard	8	-1	14
7	Excelsior	7	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	8	+2	11
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	-1	9
12	Sparta Rotterdam	8	-7	6
13	Telstar	7	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	-14	2