Moreirense vs Vitória de Guimarães Prediction — Portuguese Primeira Liga

Our pick

Under 3.5 Goals

76.5%

xG

1.2 – 1.3

Over 2.5

45%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →

MoreirenseLDWLL

Vitória de GuimarãesDLDLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Vitória de Guimarães favoured at 39%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.18 goals for Moreirense and 1.29 for Vitória de Guimarães, giving 34% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 39% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.18 - 1.29
Clean sheet chance: Moreirense 28%, Vitória de Guimarães 31%

Match result

1X2

Moreirense34.1%

Draw26.7%

Vitória de Guimarães39.2%

Model rating

All ratings →

4.9

Moreirense

Average

4.7

Vitória de Guimarães

Average

MoreirenseLast 10 games

Vitória de Guimarães

0.90Points per game0.50

0.8Goals scored per game0.6

1.7Goals conceded per game1.6

50%Over 2.5 goals30%

40%Both teams scored40%

20%Clean sheets20%

50%Failed to score50%

Recent results

MoreirenseLDWLL

Vitória de GuimarãesDLDLW

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Porto	7	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	+3	11
6	Braga	6	+2	11
7	Académico de Viseu	7	0	11
8	Estrela Amadora	7	0	10
9	Gil Vicente	6	0	8
10	Alverca	7	-2	8
11	Marítimo	7	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	+2	7
14	Vitória de Guimarães	7	-3	5
15	Nacional de Madeira	7	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	-13	4
18	Estoril Praia	7	-7	2