Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
49%
The model's strongest read is Under 3.5 goals at 79%, against a 72% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 1.25 for Russia and 1.10 for Egypt, so a low-scoring game is the base case. Russia are slight favourites at 39%, but the goals market is the clearer signal.
Russia
Above average
Egypt
Above average
1
Russia
0
Draws
1
Egypt