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Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama prediction, Brazilian Série A

Brazilian Série A · Round 28Full time

Botafogo

1-1

Wed, 10 Oct

Vasco da Gama

Model's read
1 51%X 25%2 24%

Our pick ★ Strong

Over 1.5 Goals

79.8%

xG

1.8 – 1.2

Over 2.5

56%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →
BotafogoLLWDD
Vasco da GamaDWWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Botafogo favoured at 51%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.77 goals for Botafogo and 1.17 for Vasco da Gama, giving 51% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.77 - 1.17
  • Clean sheet chance: Botafogo 31%, Vasco da Gama 17%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Botafogo v Vasco da Gama

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Botafogo50.7%
Draw25.0%
Vasco da Gama24.4%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.9

Botafogo

Above average

5.1

Vasco da Gama

Average

BotafogoLast 10 gamesVasco da Gama
0.90Points per game1.50
0.9Goals scored per game1.4
1.5Goals conceded per game1.2
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
50%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score40%

Recent results

BotafogoLLWDD
  • 7 OctHVasco da Gama1-2
  • 19 SeptAMirassol0-2
  • 16 SeptHGrêmio3-2
  • 12 SeptHBragantino1-1
  • 6 SeptHPalmeiras0-0
  • 30 AugAFlamengo0-3
Vasco da GamaDWWWL
  • 10 OctHRemo0-0
  • 7 OctABotafogo2-1
  • 19 SeptHCoritiba5-0
  • 12 SeptAGrêmio2-1
  • 6 SeptAFluminense0-1
  • 30 AugHCruzeiro3-1

Brazilian Série A

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1Flamengo28+3260
2Palmeiras28+2657
3Athletico Paranaense28+1149
4Fluminense28+848
5Bahia28+846
6Cruzeiro28+245
7Atlético Mineiro27+440
8Santos27+138
9Coritiba28-638
10Bragantino27+236
11São Paulo27+236
12Botafogo28-435
13Vitória28-1433
14Corinthians28-332
15Mirassol28-932
16Vasco da Gama27-731
17Grêmio28-829
18Internacional28-628
19Remo28-1523
20Chapecoense27-2418
Top four Bottom three

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

5

Botafogo

1

Draws

4

Vasco da Gama

  • 8 Oct 26Botafogo 1-2 Vasco da Gama
  • 5 Apr 26Vasco da Gama 1-2 Botafogo
  • 5 Nov 25Botafogo 3-0 Vasco da Gama
  • 12 Jul 25Vasco da Gama 0-2 Botafogo
  • 6 Nov 24Botafogo 3-0 Vasco da Gama
Every meeting between these two →