Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
57%
The model makes Norwich narrow favourites at 37% to Stoke's 36%, with a draw at 27%. Expected goals are 1.39 for Norwich and 1.36 for Stoke, so the game looks tight rather than one-sided. Stoke's recent run is stronger than their season, but the model already weights recent results.
Stoke
Average
Norwich
Above average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | 17 | |
| 2▲ | 9 | +4 | 16 | |
| 3▲ | 9 | +2 | 16 | |
| 4▼ | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 5▼ | 8 | +5 | 15 | |
| 6▼ | 8 | +2 | 14 | |
| 7▼ | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | -1 | 13 | |
| 9▲ | 9 | +2 | 12 | |
| 10▲ | 9 | 0 | 12 | |
| 11▲ | 9 | -1 | 12 | |
| 12▼ | 8 | -3 | 12 | |
| 13▼ | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 14▼ | 9 | -2 | 11 | |
| 15▼ | 8 | +9 | 10 | |
| 16▼ | 9 | -4 | 10 | |
| 17▼ | 9 | -5 | 10 | |
| 18▼ | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 19 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 20▲ | 9 | -6 | 8 | |
| 21▼ | 9 | -6 | 8 | |
| 22▼ | 9 | -4 | 7 | |
| 23▲ | 9 | -5 | 7 | |
| 24▼ | 9 | -7 | 5 |
2
Stoke
3
Draws
5
Norwich