Derby County vs Wrexham Prediction — English Championship

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

75.3%

xG

1.4 – 1.2

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

55%

Form

Full stats →

Derby CountyDLLLW

WrexhamWLDDW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Derby County narrow favourites, but far from certain

The model gives Derby County a 41% chance to win at home, against 31% for Wrexham and 28% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.43 for Derby and 1.22 for Wrexham. Goals markets sit near 50-50, so there is little edge there.

Match result

1X2

Derby County40.8%

Draw27.9%

Wrexham31.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.0

Derby County

Average

6.1

Wrexham

Above average

Derby CountyLast 10 games

Wrexham

0.50Points per game1.10

0.9Goals scored per game1.1

1.8Goals conceded per game1.5

70%Over 2.5 goals50%

60%Both teams scored60%

10%Clean sheets20%

30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

Derby CountyDLLLW

WrexhamWLDDW

English Championship

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1▲	Middlesbrough84′ 1-0	9	+5	18
2▼	Swansea	8	+7	17
3▲	Stoke81′ 2-0	9	+3	16
4▼	West Ham United	8	+11	15
5▼	Wolverhampton Wanderers84′ 0-1	8	+4	14
6▼	West Brom	8	+2	14
7▲	Millwall83′ 1-0	9	+1	14
8▼	Queens Park Rangers	8	+3	13
9▼	Bristol City	8	-1	13
10▲	Blackburn Rovers86′ 2-1	9	+1	12
11▲	Sheffield United86′ 3-0	9	+1	12
12▼	Charlton Athletic	8	-3	12
13▼	Birmingham City	8	+1	11
14▼	Lincoln City86′ 0-3	9	-4	11
15▼	Southampton	8	+9	10
16▼	Wrexham83′ 0-1	9	-4	10
17▼	Bolton Wanderers81′ 0-2	9	-6	10
18▼	Norwich	8	-1	9
19	Portsmouth	7	-1	8
20▲	Derby County83′ 1-0	9	-6	8
21▼	Watford83′ 0-3	9	-6	8
22▼	Cardiff86′ 1-2	9	-3	7
23▲	Burnley83′ 3-0	9	-5	7
24▼	Preston North End83′ 0-1	9	-8	4