Burnley vs Derby County Prediction — English Championship

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

75.4%

xG

1.5 – 1.2

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →

BurnleyDLDLD

Derby CountyDLLLW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Burnley favoured at 44%; goals markets near even

Burnley are the model's pick at 44% to win, against 28% for Derby and 28% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.51 for Burnley and 1.15 for Derby. Over 2.5 and both teams to score both sit near 50-50, so the goals markets offer little edge.

Match result

1X2

Burnley44.4%

Draw27.5%

Derby County28.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

7.0

Burnley

Strong

5.0

Derby County

Average

BurnleyLast 10 games

Derby County

0.60Points per game0.50

1.0Goals scored per game0.9

1.8Goals conceded per game1.8

50%Over 2.5 goals70%

90%Both teams scored60%

10%Clean sheets10%

10%Failed to score30%

Recent results

BurnleyDLDLD

Derby CountyDLLLW

English Championship

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1▲	Middlesbrough 1-0	9	+5	18
2▼	Swansea	8	+7	17
3▲	Stoke 2-1	9	+2	16
4▼	West Ham United	8	+11	15
5▼	Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-1	8	+4	14
6▼	West Brom	8	+2	14
7▲	Millwall 1-0	9	+1	14
8▼	Queens Park Rangers	8	+3	13
9▼	Bristol City	8	-1	13
10▲	Blackburn Rovers 2-1	9	+1	12
11▼	Charlton Athletic	8	-3	12
12▼	Birmingham City	8	+1	11
13▼	Lincoln City	8	-1	11
14	Wrexham 1-1	9	-3	11
15▼	Southampton	8	+9	10
16▼	Bolton Wanderers 1-2	9	-5	10
17	Norwich	8	-1	9
18	Sheffield United	8	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	-1	8
20	Watford 0-4	9	-7	8
21	Cardiff 1-2	9	-3	7
22▲	Burnley 4-0	9	-4	7
23▼	Derby County 1-1	9	-7	6
24▼	Preston North End 0-1	9	-8	4